Federal Reserve officials made another large rate increase and signaled more to come, pledging to quash inflation despite expected pain.
Federal Reserve officials, struggling to contain the most rapid inflation in 40 years, delivered a third big rate increase on Wednesday and projected a more aggressive path ahead for monetary policy, one that would lift interest rates higher and keep them elevated longer.
The Fed raised its policy interest rate by three-quarters of a percentage point, boosting it to a range of 3 to 3.25 percent. That’s a significant jump from as recently as March, when the federal funds rate was set at near-zero, and the increases since then have made for the Fed’s fastest policy adjustment since the 1980s.
Even more notably, policymakers predicted on Wednesday that they would raise borrowing costs to 4.4 percent by the end of the year and forecast markedly higher interest rates in the years to come than they had previously expected. Jerome H. Powell, the Fed chair, warned that those moves would be painful for the U.S. economy — but said curbing growth to contain price increases was essential.
“We have got to get inflation behind us,” Mr. Powell said during his post-meeting news conference. “I wish there were a painless way to do that; there isn’t.”
Together, the Fed’s stark projections and the Fed chair’s comments amounted to a declaration: The central bank is determined to crush inflation, even if doing so comes at a cost to the economy in the near term. That message got through to markets, which slumped in reaction to the news, with the S&P 500 index closingdown 1.7 percent.
“We want to act aggressively now, and get this job done, and keep at it until its done,” Mr. Powell explained.
His stern remarks reflect a challenging reality for the Fed. Inflation has been stubbornly rapid, and it is proving difficult to wrestle back under control.
Prices continue to increase at more than three times the central bank’s target rate of 2 percent, making everyday life hard to afford as everything from rent to food to household goods continues to grow more expensive. The jump in inflation, which is being felt globally, stems partly from supply chain disruptions caused by the pandemic and war in Ukraine. But the price pressures also come from sustained consumer demand, which has allowed companies to charge more without losing customers.
In fact, people have continued to buy cars, retail goods and dinners out even as the central bank has begun to sharply raise interest rates. Companies have continued to rake in big profits while hiring at a rapid clip, lifting wages as they compete for scarce workers — and sending prices relentlessly higher.
The Fed is trying to change that, a statement the central bank delivered clearly on Wednesday.
“It’s consistent with the message that inflation is public enemy No. 1: They have to keep going,” said Priya Misra, head of global rates research at T.D. Securities.
The Fed’s policies work by constraining demand. Higher interest rates make it more expensive to borrow money to buy a car or house or expand a business, slowing consumer spending and corporate expansions. As the economy cools and hiring and wage growth slacken, companies will find it a struggle to charge their customers as much, paving the way for more muted price increases.
That is why the path toward weaker inflation is likely to be painful. Officials projected that joblessness will rise to 4.4 percent next year — higher than 3.7 percent now — and stay there through 2024 as economic growth sags considerably below its potential.
“That is something that we think we need to have,” Mr. Powell said. “We think we need to have softer labor market conditions, as well.”
Fed officials believe that the cost is worth it. Leaving inflation unchecked could allow it to become a more permanent feature of the economy. If workers begin to expect prices to increase sharply year after year, they are likely to demand faster pay increases. Businesses would most likely pass that expense along to customers in the form of higher prices, spurring an unhealthy upward spiral.
If inflation became a given in everyday economic life, it might prove harder to stamp out. The Fed allowed uncomfortably quick inflation to continue throughout the 1970s, and it only waned after the Fed, under then-Chair Paul Volcker, pushed interest rates to double-digit levels in the 1980s, sending unemployment soaring to 10 percent.
Many economists believe that drastic response was necessary because an inflationary psychology had taken hold. Nobody wants to repeat the experience.